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Sunday, September 15, 2013

Laplace the Bayesianista and the Mass of Saturn

I'm reviewing Bayes' theorem and related topics for the upcoming GDAT class. In its simplest form, Bayes' theorem is a statement about conditional probabilities. The probability of A, given that B has occurred, is expressed as: Pr In Bayesian language, \Pr(A|B) is called the posterior probability, \Pr(A) the prior probability, and \Pr(B|A) the likelihood (essentially a normalization factor).

Source: Wikipedia